Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.003888 0.004261 0.004661 0.005123 0.005644 0.006213 0.006886
2025-09-07 0.003257 0.003775 0.004370 0.005109 0.006010 0.007082 0.008466
2025-09-14 0.002977 0.003582 0.004310 0.005263 0.006493 0.008046 0.010193
2025-09-21 0.002669 0.003302 0.004091 0.005166 0.006614 0.008534 0.011336
2025-09-28 0.002428 0.003073 0.003903 0.005069 0.006701 0.008959 0.012418
2025-10-05 0.002264 0.002925 0.003798 0.005064 0.006898 0.009537 0.013774
2025-10-12 0.002159 0.002845 0.003773 0.005158 0.007235 0.010341 0.015567
2025-10-19 0.002019 0.002702 0.003648 0.005093 0.007321 0.010767 0.016805
2025-10-26 0.001910 0.002596 0.003563 0.005075 0.007473 0.011303 0.018288
2025-11-02 0.001798 0.002475 0.003448 0.005000 0.007522 0.011669 0.019517
2025-11-09 0.001727 0.002410 0.003408 0.005035 0.007747 0.012350 0.021411
2025-11-16 0.001641 0.002317 0.003320 0.004984 0.007823 0.012773 0.022872
2025-11-23 0.001535 0.002189 0.003175 0.004838 0.007734 0.012916 0.023848
2025-11-30 0.001466 0.002117 0.003112 0.004824 0.007877 0.013505 0.025856
2025-12-07 0.001438 0.002105 0.003142 0.004968 0.008314 0.014702 0.029397
2025-12-14 0.001364 0.002015 0.003042 0.004877 0.008308 0.015026 0.031025
2025-12-21 0.001296 0.001932 0.002947 0.004787 0.008294 0.015329 0.032657
2025-12-28 0.001250 0.001881 0.002901 0.004782 0.008443 0.015989 0.035298
2026-01-04 0.001223 0.001861 0.002907 0.004870 0.008783 0.017101 0.039345
2026-01-11 0.001173 0.001798 0.002835 0.004809 0.008813 0.017529 0.041644
2026-01-18 0.001133 0.001752 0.002789 0.004793 0.008935 0.018179 0.044720
2026-01-25 0.001087 0.001693 0.002718 0.004723 0.008935 0.018542 0.047035
2026-02-01 0.001060 0.001665 0.002701 0.004755 0.009159 0.019476 0.051331